Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月7日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月7日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 交易量
$61,675 交易量
2026-07-07
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 交易量
$61,675 交易量
2026-07-07
29°C或以下
$3,374 交易量
否
30°C
$3,427 交易量
否
31°C
$3,689 交易量
否
32°C
$7,402 交易量
否
33°C
$11,838 交易量
是
34°C
$10,844 交易量
否
35°C
$6,116 交易量
否
36°C
$5,143 交易量
否
37°C
$4,248 交易量
否
38°C
$2,995 交易量
否
39°C或更高
$2,599 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$61,675结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,675结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题