Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,545 交易量
$28,545 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,545 交易量
$28,545 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
$207 交易量
No
31°C
$359 交易量
No
32°C
$2,191 交易量
No
33°C
$4,245 交易量
No
34°C
$4,051 交易量
No
35°C
$3,042 交易量
No
36°C
$5,356 交易量
Yes
37°C
$4,623 交易量
No
38°C
$3,315 交易量
No
39°C
$802 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$355 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$28,545结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,545结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Metro Manila highs near 32–34°C on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with a 20–60% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the southwest monsoon onset, introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures through variable cloud cover and convective cooling that can suppress afternoon maxima below historical June averages of 32°C. Traders have clustered around 35°C and 36°C outcomes because recent satellite trends show periods of stronger insolation possible before any rain develops, while urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine whether daytime heating reaches the upper end of the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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