**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$66,908 交易量
$66,908 交易量
2026-06-25
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$66,908 交易量
$66,908 交易量
2026-06-25
26°C or below
$1,457 交易量
No
27°C
$264 交易量
No
28°C
$990 交易量
No
29°C
$13,705 交易量
No
30°C
$6,877 交易量
No
31°C
$19,397 交易量
No
32°C
$13,484 交易量
Yes
33°C
$4,247 交易量
No
34°C
$3,450 交易量
No
35°C
$1,249 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,789 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$66,908结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,908结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Manila’s June 25 maximum reflects PAGASA’s official outlook of 26–32°C amid 30% rain chance, consistent with June’s southwest monsoon regime.** Scattered clouds and isolated thunderstorms typical of the season limit surface heating, while light southeasterly winds and high humidity moderate peaks near the long-term average of 32°C. Global model runs show minor spread on timing and coverage of convection, keeping 31°C and 33°C within a narrow implied-probability band. Final resolution hinges on the 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations; any shift in forecast guidance or clearer skies could quickly rebalance the tightly clustered market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题