Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 3?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 交易量
$17,173 交易量
2026-06-03
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,173 交易量
$17,173 交易量
2026-06-03
21°C or below
$434 交易量
No
22°C
$540 交易量
No
23°C
$675 交易量
No
24°C
$547 交易量
No
25°C
$497 交易量
No
26°C
$413 交易量
No
27°C
$1,270 交易量
No
28°C
$1,627 交易量
No
29°C
$2,409 交易量
No
30°C
$3,078 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$5,682 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,173结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,173结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Manila on June 3 because the city’s tropical monsoon climate produces consistent early-June heat. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration climatology shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C during this period, driven by high solar insolation, low wind shear, and the seasonal transition before peak southwest monsoon rains. Current model guidance and regional sea-surface temperatures reinforce this pattern with minimal cooling influence expected. An atypical cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall could theoretically suppress readings below 31°C, yet such events remain uncommon this early in the month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题