The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 交易量
$34,971 交易量
2026-06-04
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 交易量
$34,971 交易量
2026-06-04
26°C or below
$203 交易量
No
27°C
$238 交易量
No
28°C
$737 交易量
No
29°C
$1,518 交易量
No
30°C
$4,513 交易量
No
31°C
$2,542 交易量
No
32°C
$4,842 交易量
Yes
33°C
$6,669 交易量
No
34°C
$6,382 交易量
No
35°C
$5,385 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,942 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$34,971结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,971结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题