PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 交易量
$39,204 交易量
2026-05-08
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 交易量
$39,204 交易量
2026-05-08
30°C or below
$3,501 交易量
No
31°C
$1,995 交易量
No
32°C
$1,997 交易量
No
33°C
$3,696 交易量
No
34°C
$5,595 交易量
No
35°C
$1,586 交易量
No
36°C
$5,787 交易量
Yes
37°C
$5,580 交易量
No
38°C
$3,914 交易量
No
39°C
$2,747 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$2,806 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
交易量
$39,204结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,204结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题