Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
67°F or below
$309 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$253 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$301 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$168 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$584 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$282 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$324 交易量
16%
80-81°F
$170 交易量
23%
82-83°F
$292 交易量
49%
84-85°F
$262 交易量
12%
86°F or higher
$459 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$3,396结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,396结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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