Official temperature observations from Miami International Airport on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the near-certain market consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects typical early-summer conditions in South Florida, where high pressure, light winds, and abundant sunshine often produce afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s under climatological norms. Forecasters from NOAA noted minimal model spread in the days leading up to the date, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting further intensification. Only an unexpected late-day sea-breeze surge or measurement revision could have altered the result, though no such factors materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日迈阿密气温最高?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$81,062 交易量
$81,062 交易量
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或更高
否
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$81,062 交易量
$81,062 交易量
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official temperature observations from Miami International Airport on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the near-certain market consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects typical early-summer conditions in South Florida, where high pressure, light winds, and abundant sunshine often produce afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s under climatological norms. Forecasters from NOAA noted minimal model spread in the days leading up to the date, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting further intensification. Only an unexpected late-day sea-breeze surge or measurement revision could have altered the result, though no such factors materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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警惕外部链接哦。
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