Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 5.4%
最新
$45,990 交易量
最新
$45,990 交易量
2026-04-15
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
32%
21°C
38%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
5%
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 5.4%
最新
$45,990 交易量
最新
$45,990 交易量
2026-04-15
13°C or below
$6,271 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,637 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,390 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,991 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,691 交易量
1%
18°C
$5,476 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,576 交易量
2%
20°C
$5,166 交易量
32%
21°C
$3,334 交易量
38%
22°C
$2,701 交易量
28%
23°C or higher
$4,756 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$45,990结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,990结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题