Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF and GFS projections clustering around 23-25°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and diurnal heating. The narrow spread differentiating 23°C (27%), 24°C (29%), and 25°C (26%) stems from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification at official stations like Milano Linate—factors where ensemble members diverge by 1-2°C. Above historical April norms of 18-19°C, current odds capture spring warming trends, though new 00Z model runs could shift probabilities based on evolving synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 29%
23°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
25%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 29%
23°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
18°C or below
$923 交易量
<1%
19°C
$705 交易量
<1%
20°C
$768 交易量
1%
21°C
$207 交易量
3%
22°C
$320 交易量
5%
23°C
$265 交易量
26%
24°C
$126 交易量
29%
25°C
$102 交易量
25%
26°C
$128 交易量
15%
27°C
$155 交易量
4%
28°C or higher
$121 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF and GFS projections clustering around 23-25°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and diurnal heating. The narrow spread differentiating 23°C (27%), 24°C (29%), and 25°C (26%) stems from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification at official stations like Milano Linate—factors where ensemble members diverge by 1-2°C. Above historical April norms of 18-19°C, current odds capture spring warming trends, though new 00Z model runs could shift probabilities based on evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$3,821结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF and GFS projections clustering around 23-25°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and diurnal heating. The narrow spread differentiating 23°C (27%), 24°C (29%), and 25°C (26%) stems from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification at official stations like Milano Linate—factors where ensemble members diverge by 1-2°C. Above historical April norms of 18-19°C, current odds capture spring warming trends, though new 00Z model runs could shift probabilities based on evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,821结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF and GFS projections clustering around 23-25°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly airflow and diurnal heating. The narrow spread differentiating 23°C (27%), 24°C (29%), and 25°C (26%) stems from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification at official stations like Milano Linate—factors where ensemble members diverge by 1-2°C. Above historical April norms of 18-19°C, current odds capture spring warming trends, though new 00Z model runs could shift probabilities based on evolving synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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