Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors highs of 21°C or higher in Milan today at 94.5% implied probability, driven by the latest guidance from Italy's official Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) projecting around 20-21°C alongside upside from ECMWF and other model ensembles showing peaks to 22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Morning observations at Milan Malpensa Airport indicate starting temperatures near 14°C with ample solar insolation and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating typical of spring anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with recent days' mild pattern, exceeding April climatological averages of 17°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms reducing peak temperatures to exactly 20°C, though model agreement remains robust with hourly updates through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 20?
21°C or higher 94.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$51,330 交易量
$51,330 交易量
2026-04-20
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 94.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$51,330 交易量
$51,330 交易量
2026-04-20
11°C or below
$1,400 交易量
No
12°C
$1,344 交易量
No
13°C
$1,534 交易量
No
14°C
$3,947 交易量
No
15°C
$1,453 交易量
No
16°C
$2,891 交易量
No
17°C
$2,368 交易量
No
18°C
$6,048 交易量
No
19°C
$6,299 交易量
No
20°C
$10,457 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$13,588 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors highs of 21°C or higher in Milan today at 94.5% implied probability, driven by the latest guidance from Italy's official Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) projecting around 20-21°C alongside upside from ECMWF and other model ensembles showing peaks to 22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Morning observations at Milan Malpensa Airport indicate starting temperatures near 14°C with ample solar insolation and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating typical of spring anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with recent days' mild pattern, exceeding April climatological averages of 17°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms reducing peak temperatures to exactly 20°C, though model agreement remains robust with hourly updates through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$51,330结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors highs of 21°C or higher in Milan today at 94.5% implied probability, driven by the latest guidance from Italy's official Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) projecting around 20-21°C alongside upside from ECMWF and other model ensembles showing peaks to 22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Morning observations at Milan Malpensa Airport indicate starting temperatures near 14°C with ample solar insolation and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating typical of spring anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with recent days' mild pattern, exceeding April climatological averages of 17°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms reducing peak temperatures to exactly 20°C, though model agreement remains robust with hourly updates through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,330结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors highs of 21°C or higher in Milan today at 94.5% implied probability, driven by the latest guidance from Italy's official Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) projecting around 20-21°C alongside upside from ECMWF and other model ensembles showing peaks to 22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Morning observations at Milan Malpensa Airport indicate starting temperatures near 14°C with ample solar insolation and light winds enabling strong diurnal heating typical of spring anticyclonic conditions. This aligns with recent days' mild pattern, exceeding April climatological averages of 17°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms reducing peak temperatures to exactly 20°C, though model agreement remains robust with hourly updates through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题