Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日米兰的最高温度？
7月18日米兰的最高温度？
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 交易量
$64,864 交易量
2026-07-18
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 交易量
$64,864 交易量
2026-07-18
28°C或以下
$2,359 交易量
否
29°C
$1,079 交易量
否
30°C
$3,413 交易量
否
31°C
$5,565 交易量
否
32°C
$10,025 交易量
否
33°C
$13,455 交易量
否
34°C
$12,716 交易量
是
35°C
$6,617 交易量
否
36°C
$5,185 交易量
否
37°C
$3,759 交易量
否
38°C或更高
$689 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$64,864结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64,864结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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