Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 交易量
$55,965 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$55,965 交易量
$55,965 交易量
28°C或以下
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current observations from Milan’s official stations confirm a daily maximum of exactly 29°C on June 14, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that peaked temperatures in the afternoon before gradual evening cooling set in. This aligns with short-range model consensus and historical June baselines around 26–28°C, leaving little room for upward revision once the final reading is recorded. The 100% market-implied odds reflect traders’ recognition that late-day data and measurement thresholds have effectively locked in the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected station recalibration, delayed heat spike, or official methodology change—scenarios with negligible probability this close to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题