Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 交易量
$41,902 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
No
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
否
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 交易量
$41,902 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
$688 交易量
No
31°C
$2,885 交易量
否
32°C
$7,214 交易量
否
33°C
$9,461 交易量
是
34°C
$7,747 交易量
否
35°C
$4,992 交易量
No
36°C
$3,057 交易量
No
37°C
$4,861 交易量
No
38°C
$378 交易量
No
39°C
$365 交易量
否
40°C or higher
$253 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
交易量
$41,902结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,902结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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