Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月7日莫斯科最高气温？
7月7日莫斯科最高气温？
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,382 交易量
$83,382 交易量
2026-07-07
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,382 交易量
$83,382 交易量
2026-07-07
14°C or below
$2,573 交易量
No
15°C
$2,814 交易量
No
16°C
$4,017 交易量
No
17°C
$7,484 交易量
No
18°C
$6,547 交易量
No
19°C
$25,018 交易量
No
20°C
$11,109 交易量
Yes
21°C
$7,631 交易量
No
22°C
$6,134 交易量
No
23°C
$5,947 交易量
No
24°C或更高
$4,110 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$83,382结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$83,382结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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