Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 交易量
$176,929 交易量
2026-05-29
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 交易量
$176,929 交易量
2026-05-29
4°C or below
$4,474 交易量
No
5°C
$3,369 交易量
No
6°C
$5,317 交易量
No
7°C
$7,403 交易量
No
8°C
$123,511 交易量
Yes
9°C
$10,292 交易量
No
10°C
$7,318 交易量
No
11°C
$4,916 交易量
No
12°C
$2,687 交易量
No
13°C
$3,256 交易量
No
14°C or higher
$4,385 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$176,929结束日期
2026-05-29市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
有争议
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$176,929结束日期
2026-05-29市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
有争议
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题