Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 交易量
$55,673 交易量
2026-05-06
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$55,673 交易量
$55,673 交易量
2026-05-06
17°C or below
$447 交易量
No
18°C
$1,504 交易量
No
19°C
$2,153 交易量
No
20°C
$3,425 交易量
No
21°C
$3,422 交易量
No
22°C
$8,194 交易量
No
23°C
$7,134 交易量
No
24°C
$5,981 交易量
No
25°C
$8,497 交易量
Yes
26°C
$7,431 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$7,487 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
交易量
$55,673结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$55,673结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Moscow on May 6, driven by official observational data from Roshydromet stations, including VDNKh and Balchug, confirming the midday peak at precisely 25°C under partly cloudy skies before evening thunderstorms arrived. Gidrometcentr's morning forecasts had projected highs up to 27°C amid southwesterly winds and above-normal warmth—6°C over May climatological averages of 18-19°C—but increased cloud cover and early precipitation suppressed further intensification, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus for capped warming. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst exceeding models' cooling trajectory prior to final daily reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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