Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月24日慕尼黑最高温度?
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
44%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
44%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 22, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model guidance from European forecasting centers indicates a mostly stable high-pressure pattern over southern Germany through July 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich centered on 23–25 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences arising from the timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or light northerly flow. Historical July climatology for the city shows mean highs near 24 °C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current runs. Because the leading market outcomes sit within a 3 °C window, traders appear focused on the precise resolution of the official DWD measurement rather than larger-scale shifts, with new model updates and observational data expected to narrow the spread ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题