The market's near-certain consensus on a 19°C daily maximum in Munich on June 5 reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction models and initial observational data from regional monitoring networks, aligning with early June climatology of moderate highs driven by typical Atlantic influences and stable high-pressure patterns. Official forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with minimal potential for convective heating to push readings higher. While model agreement supports this outcome, final resolution depends on precise station measurements; localized variations from urban heat islands, wind shifts, or late-day cloud cover could realistically alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on June 5?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,542 交易量
$54,542 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$54,542 交易量
$54,542 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 19°C daily maximum in Munich on June 5 reflects the convergence of numerical weather prediction models and initial observational data from regional monitoring networks, aligning with early June climatology of moderate highs driven by typical Atlantic influences and stable high-pressure patterns. Official forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service indicate limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with minimal potential for convective heating to push readings higher. While model agreement supports this outcome, final resolution depends on precise station measurements; localized variations from urban heat islands, wind shifts, or late-day cloud cover could realistically alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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