Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 84-85°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge advecting warm southerly air with light winds allowing robust diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze development onshore from cooler Atlantic waters, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F by enhancing boundary layer mixing, versus clearer skies and delayed onshore flow permitting 84-85°F under full solar insolation—reflected in ensemble spread and recent 00z runs trending slightly warmer. Current April 15 observations near 86°F underscore the warm anomaly above the 61°F climatological average, with updated forecasts due this evening potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution at Central Park's official station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
77°F或以下
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 30%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
77°F或以下
$1,227 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$518 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$214 交易量
11%
82-83°F
$385 交易量
23%
84-85°F
$204 交易量
30%
86-87°F
$299 交易量
21%
88-89°F
$903 交易量
12%
90-91°F
$1,128 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$547 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$464 交易量
<1%
96°F或更高
$808 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 84-85°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge advecting warm southerly air with light winds allowing robust diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze development onshore from cooler Atlantic waters, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F by enhancing boundary layer mixing, versus clearer skies and delayed onshore flow permitting 84-85°F under full solar insolation—reflected in ensemble spread and recent 00z runs trending slightly warmer. Current April 15 observations near 86°F underscore the warm anomaly above the 61°F climatological average, with updated forecasts due this evening potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution at Central Park's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$6,629结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 84-85°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge advecting warm southerly air with light winds allowing robust diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze development onshore from cooler Atlantic waters, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F by enhancing boundary layer mixing, versus clearer skies and delayed onshore flow permitting 84-85°F under full solar insolation—reflected in ensemble spread and recent 00z runs trending slightly warmer. Current April 15 observations near 86°F underscore the warm anomaly above the 61°F climatological average, with updated forecasts due this evening potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution at Central Park's official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,629结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 84-85°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 16, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peaks in the low-to-mid 80s amid a strengthening upper-level ridge advecting warm southerly air with light winds allowing robust diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea breeze development onshore from cooler Atlantic waters, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F by enhancing boundary layer mixing, versus clearer skies and delayed onshore flow permitting 84-85°F under full solar insolation—reflected in ensemble spread and recent 00z runs trending slightly warmer. Current April 15 observations near 86°F underscore the warm anomaly above the 61°F climatological average, with updated forecasts due this evening potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution at Central Park's official station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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