Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市4月17日的最高温度？
纽约市4月17日的最高温度？
77°F或以下 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$331,146 交易量
$331,146 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F或以下
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96华氏度或更高
否
77°F或以下 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$331,146 交易量
$331,146 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F或以下
$114,123 交易量
是
78-79°F
$57,536 交易量
否
80-81°F
$55,192 交易量
否
82-83°F
$25,381 交易量
否
84-85°F
$20,067 交易量
否
86-87°F
$8,446 交易量
否
88-89°F
$13,687 交易量
否
90-91°F
$8,894 交易量
否
92-93°F
$9,857 交易量
否
94-95°F
$10,365 交易量
否
96华氏度或更高
$7,598 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$331,146结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$331,146结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 77°F or below in New York City on April 17, backed by the official National Weather Service measurement at Central Park, which recorded a daily maximum well within this range amid post-frontal cooling. Following an anomalous early-April heat wave—peaking at a record-tying 90°F on April 15 and near 88°F on April 16—a cold frontal passage introduced cooler mid-level air masses, persistent cloud cover, and light precipitation threats, suppressing daytime heating to near historical mid-April averages around 63°F. Model ensembles from NOAA had anticipated this moderation days prior. Realistic challenges are negligible post-preliminary climatological report release, requiring only a rare data verification revision from archived observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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