Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 66-67°F (27%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing highs in the mid-60s amid a transition from recent record heat—90°F on April 15 and 88°F on April 16. This cooling stems from ridge breakdown and influx of cooler mid-level air, with east-southeasterly winds potentially enhancing sea-breeze effects that cap peaks at 64-65°F in some runs versus fuller mixing yielding 66-67°F in others. Climatological April highs average 62°F, so above-normal but uncertain due to boundary-layer variability; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月18日纽约市最高气温？
4月18日纽约市最高气温？
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 17%
60-61°F 10%
最新
$28,720 交易量
最新
$28,720 交易量
2026-04-18
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 17%
60-61°F 10%
最新
$28,720 交易量
最新
$28,720 交易量
2026-04-18
53°F or below
$4,252 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$1,531 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,498 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,315 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$2,329 交易量
10%
62-63°F
$2,056 交易量
17%
64-65°F
$1,752 交易量
33%
66-67°F
$1,282 交易量
27%
68-69°F
$3,626 交易量
9%
70-71°F
$3,879 交易量
2%
72°F or higher
$5,200 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 66-67°F (27%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing highs in the mid-60s amid a transition from recent record heat—90°F on April 15 and 88°F on April 16. This cooling stems from ridge breakdown and influx of cooler mid-level air, with east-southeasterly winds potentially enhancing sea-breeze effects that cap peaks at 64-65°F in some runs versus fuller mixing yielding 66-67°F in others. Climatological April highs average 62°F, so above-normal but uncertain due to boundary-layer variability; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,720结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 66-67°F (27%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing highs in the mid-60s amid a transition from recent record heat—90°F on April 15 and 88°F on April 16. This cooling stems from ridge breakdown and influx of cooler mid-level air, with east-southeasterly winds potentially enhancing sea-breeze effects that cap peaks at 64-65°F in some runs versus fuller mixing yielding 66-67°F in others. Climatological April highs average 62°F, so above-normal but uncertain due to boundary-layer variability; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,720结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 66-67°F (27%) for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing highs in the mid-60s amid a transition from recent record heat—90°F on April 15 and 88°F on April 16. This cooling stems from ridge breakdown and influx of cooler mid-level air, with east-southeasterly winds potentially enhancing sea-breeze effects that cap peaks at 64-65°F in some runs versus fuller mixing yielding 66-67°F in others. Climatological April highs average 62°F, so above-normal but uncertain due to boundary-layer variability; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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