Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月18日纽约市最高气温？
4月18日纽约市最高气温？
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 交易量
$439,098 交易量
2026-04-18
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 交易量
$439,098 交易量
2026-04-18
53°F or below
$12,480 交易量
No
54-55°F
$36,626 交易量
No
56-57°F
$67,655 交易量
No
58-59°F
$69,751 交易量
No
60-61°F
$87,629 交易量
Yes
62-63°F
$43,117 交易量
No
64-65°F
$43,390 交易量
No
66-67°F
$24,041 交易量
No
68-69°F
$20,666 交易量
No
70-71°F
$16,390 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$17,354 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$439,098结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$439,098结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题