Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 22?
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 交易量
$167,820 交易量
2026-04-22
55°F or below
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
55°F or below 100.0%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$167,820 交易量
$167,820 交易量
2026-04-22
55°F or below
$42,792 交易量
Yes
56-57°F
$18,091 交易量
No
58-59°F
$25,027 交易量
No
60-61°F
$25,763 交易量
No
62-63°F
$13,602 交易量
No
64-65°F
$10,117 交易量
No
66-67°F
$9,500 交易量
No
68-69°F
$5,376 交易量
No
70-71°F
$5,296 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,058 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$8,199 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$167,820结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$167,820结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park (KNYC) recorded a high temperature of 55°F or below on April 22, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF models, which projected daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent cool northerly flow, marine stratus clouds, and light rain that inhibited solar heating despite typical late-April climatological averages near 62°F. A recent upper-level trough over the Northeast followed mid-month warmth, including 90°F records around April 15, enforcing these subdued conditions. Barring rare data corrections, NWS measurements provide definitive resolution authority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题