Official National Weather Service measurements at Central Park, New York City's designated observing station, recorded a high temperature of 70-71°F on April 23, solidifying the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly ASOS data peaking in this mild spring range. This positioning reflects mostly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating under a post-frontal airmass, consistent with NWS model guidance from the prior day forecasting highs near 70°F amid climatological April averages of 62°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could arise from rare quality control revisions if preliminary data flags sensor anomalies, with final monthly climate summaries expected soon to confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 23?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$219,276 交易量
$219,276 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$219,276 交易量
$219,276 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service measurements at Central Park, New York City's designated observing station, recorded a high temperature of 70-71°F on April 23, solidifying the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as traders aligned with verified hourly ASOS data peaking in this mild spring range. This positioning reflects mostly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating under a post-frontal airmass, consistent with NWS model guidance from the prior day forecasting highs near 70°F amid climatological April averages of 62°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could arise from rare quality control revisions if preliminary data flags sensor anomalies, with final monthly climate summaries expected soon to confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题