Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 29?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 29?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 交易量
$213,342 交易量
2026-04-29
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$213,342 交易量
$213,342 交易量
2026-04-29
16°C or below
$2,358 交易量
No
17°C
$2,874 交易量
No
18°C
$2,130 交易量
No
19°C
$3,443 交易量
No
20°C
$10,811 交易量
No
21°C
$10,545 交易量
No
22°C
$27,893 交易量
No
23°C
$69,332 交易量
No
24°C
$32,543 交易量
Yes
25°C
$31,804 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$19,609 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
交易量
$213,342结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$213,342结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Météo-France's Paris-Montsouris station, a primary reference for the city's climate records, confirm the highest temperature reached 24.4°C on April 29, 2026, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome per market binning rules. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts predicting mild highs around 24°C under stable high-pressure systems, building on April 28's 22°C peak amid a month featuring +2.4°C anomalies above April norms of 15–16°C. Model consensus reflected low volatility in spring conditions over northern France. Post-verification revisions to hourly data are the only realistic challenge, though rare after Infoclimat publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题