**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,653 交易量
$146,653 交易量
2026-06-17
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$146,653 交易量
$146,653 交易量
2026-06-17
27°C or below
$10,019 交易量
No
28°C
$6,993 交易量
No
29°C
$16,254 交易量
No
30°C
$17,861 交易量
No
31°C
$23,998 交易量
No
32°C
$24,090 交易量
Yes
33°C
$20,383 交易量
No
34°C
$15,305 交易量
No
35°C
$5,180 交易量
No
36°C
$3,056 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$3,513 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$146,653结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$146,653结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus have locked trader sentiment on a 32°C peak for Paris on June 17, 2026.** Clear skies, light winds, and strong solar insolation under a building heatwave driven by subtropical air advection support afternoon maxima near this level at official stations such as Paris-Montsouris. The urban heat island effect may add a localized degree in central areas, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or thin high cloud cover account for the narrow probability spread around adjacent thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering with limited upside or downside risk on this date. Only substantial forecast revisions from updated soundings or an unexpected cloud build-up before peak heating could realistically shift the daily maximum away from 32°C before official observations close the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题