Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日华沙最高气温？
7月22日华沙最高气温？
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,723 交易量
$37,723 交易量
2026-07-22
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,723 交易量
$37,723 交易量
2026-07-22
17°C or below
$788 交易量
No
18°C
$4,170 交易量
No
19°C
$1,632 交易量
No
20°C
$2,097 交易量
No
21°C
$4,655 交易量
No
22°C
$8,134 交易量
Yes
23°C
$9,145 交易量
No
24°C
$4,488 交易量
No
25°C
$1,735 交易量
No
26°C
$531 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$347 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$37,723结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,723结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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