Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$161,154 交易量
$161,154 交易量
2026-05-01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$161,154 交易量
$161,154 交易量
2026-05-01
20°C or below
$3,255 交易量
No
21°C
$3,106 交易量
No
22°C
$6,749 交易量
No
23°C
$15,558 交易量
No
24°C
$19,573 交易量
No
25°C
$31,074 交易量
No
26°C
$30,379 交易量
Yes
27°C
$22,127 交易量
No
28°C
$14,572 交易量
No
29°C
$8,444 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$6,318 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$161,154结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$161,154结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题