Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on May 23 under mostly sunny skies and southerly airflow that advected warmer air into the region. This value aligns closely with Météo-France ensemble model guidance and exceeds late-May climatological averages of roughly 20°C, though it fell slightly short of some pre-event projections near 31°C. With the date now concluded, trader consensus at 100% for the 30°C outcome reflects finalized station data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for revision unless official records undergo post-processing adjustments—a rare occurrence for temperature maxima. Resolution hinges on the single highest reading at that reference site within the defined 24-hour window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on May 23?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$147,874 交易量
$147,874 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$147,874 交易量
$147,874 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on May 23 under mostly sunny skies and southerly airflow that advected warmer air into the region. This value aligns closely with Météo-France ensemble model guidance and exceeds late-May climatological averages of roughly 20°C, though it fell slightly short of some pre-event projections near 31°C. With the date now concluded, trader consensus at 100% for the 30°C outcome reflects finalized station data rather than forecast uncertainty, leaving little room for revision unless official records undergo post-processing adjustments—a rare occurrence for temperature maxima. Resolution hinges on the single highest reading at that reference site within the defined 24-hour window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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