Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日青岛气温最高？
7月18日青岛气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 交易量
$34,350 交易量
2026-07-18
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,350 交易量
$34,350 交易量
2026-07-18
25°C或以下
$987 交易量
否
26°C
$2,190 交易量
否
27°C
$3,338 交易量
否
28°C
$1,980 交易量
否
29°C
$4,016 交易量
否
30°C
$4,594 交易量
否
31°C
$8,262 交易量
是
32°C
$3,359 交易量
否
33°C
$4,073 交易量
否
34°C
$902 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$647 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$34,350结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,350结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus in the Qingdao July 18 maximum-temperature market centers on 28–31 °C because typical mid-July synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea produce moderate onshore flow that caps daytime heating near the long-term average high of 27–28 °C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity frequently suppress peaks relative to inland Shandong stations, while any shift to southwesterly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 2–4 °C. Recent model guidance shows limited spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 32 °C and higher outcomes at low implied probability. Forecasters will watch the next 48-hour runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF for changes in low-level wind direction or subsidence that could tip resolution between the closely matched 28 °C and 31 °C bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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