Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 交易量
$36,195 交易量
2026-06-16
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 交易量
$36,195 交易量
2026-06-16
20°C or below
$1,256 交易量
No
21°C
$561 交易量
No
22°C
$504 交易量
No
23°C
$742 交易量
No
24°C
$1,197 交易量
No
25°C
$2,162 交易量
No
26°C
$4,356 交易量
No
27°C
$12,226 交易量
Yes
28°C
$6,712 交易量
No
29°C
$3,807 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$2,671 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$36,195结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,195结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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