Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 26?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 交易量
$110,600 交易量
2026-06-26
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$110,600 交易量
$110,600 交易量
2026-06-26
22°C or below
$32,464 交易量
No
23°C
$9,519 交易量
No
24°C
$3,392 交易量
No
25°C
$4,606 交易量
No
26°C
$3,736 交易量
No
27°C
$4,096 交易量
No
28°C
$5,581 交易量
No
29°C
$9,012 交易量
No
30°C
$12,675 交易量
Yes
31°C
$10,399 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$15,121 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$110,600结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110,600结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable southeasterly winds create the main uncertainty in Qingdao's June 26 maximum temperature, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 27–32 °C. Recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with potential afternoon heating limited by sea breezes and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological June highs near 24–26 °C. Forecasters note that small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or an approaching weak front could add or subtract 2–4 °C, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 18 % probability. Updated regional model consensus and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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