Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 3?
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,891 交易量
$32,891 交易量
24°C or below
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,891 交易量
$32,891 交易量
24°C or below
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's June 3 high will remain at or below 24°C, driven by persistent maritime air influence from the Yellow Sea and a stable northeasterly flow suppressing daytime warming. Early June climatology shows average highs near 23°C, with current model consensus aligning closely due to elevated humidity, patchy cloud cover, and no strong warm advection. Coastal sites like Qingdao rarely exceed this threshold without a pronounced southerly shift or clear-sky radiative heating, both absent in latest runs. Market consensus at 100% for 24°C or below reflects this data alignment, though an unexpected model revision showing rapid warming could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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