Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,019 交易量
$39,019 交易量
2026-06-09
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$39,019 交易量
$39,019 交易量
2026-06-09
20°C or below
$183 交易量
No
21°C
$454 交易量
No
22°C
$727 交易量
No
23°C
$3,254 交易量
No
24°C
$1,628 交易量
No
25°C
$4,386 交易量
No
26°C
$3,024 交易量
No
27°C
$5,581 交易量
No
28°C
$8,508 交易量
No
29°C
$4,538 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$6,736 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$39,019结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,019结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models supports trader positioning at 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 9, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover along the Shandong coast. Recent model runs show daytime heating under light southerly flow, with surface temperatures building rapidly after sunrise amid typical early-summer insolation values exceeding 800 W/m². Historical June climatology places average highs near 24–26°C, so this outcome reflects an anomalous but well-supported warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on official station readings; an unexpected marine layer or frontal passage could still cap readings below threshold before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题