Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 3?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 交易量
$39,199 交易量
2026-05-03
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$39,199 交易量
$39,199 交易量
2026-05-03
11°C or below
$1,250 交易量
No
12°C
$761 交易量
No
13°C
$1,444 交易量
No
14°C
$8,519 交易量
No
15°C
$8,302 交易量
No
16°C
$6,440 交易量
No
17°C
$5,564 交易量
Yes
18°C
$2,508 交易量
No
19°C
$1,595 交易量
No
20°C
$1,754 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$1,062 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$39,199结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,199结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a 17°C high temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport on May 3, backed by China Meteorological Administration hourly forecasts peaking at 16.8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and strong northerly winds (4-5 levels) advecting cooler air masses southward. Current observations confirm morning temperatures near 12°C with hazy, overcast skies limiting solar insolation, positioning today's maximum below the early-May climatological average of 18-20°C. International models like AccuWeather align, forecasting 16-17°C highs under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks enabling brief radiative heating to 18°C, though low sun angles and wind chill reduce this likelihood as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题