Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月4日青岛气温最高？
5月4日青岛气温最高？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 交易量
$32,174 交易量
2026-05-04
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 交易量
$32,174 交易量
2026-05-04
19°C或以下
$9,479 交易量
否
20°C
$1,900 交易量
否
21°C
$3,172 交易量
否
22°C
$4,006 交易量
否
23°C
$2,021 交易量
否
24°C
$2,836 交易量
是
25°C
$2,893 交易量
否
26°C
$2,323 交易量
否
27°C
$1,625 交易量
否
28°C
$1,144 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$773 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$32,174结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,174结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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