Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 交易量
$95,135 交易量
2026-05-05
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 交易量
$95,135 交易量
2026-05-05
20°C or below
$28,933 交易量
No
21°C
$23,008 交易量
Yes
22°C
$14,173 交易量
No
23°C
$10,272 交易量
No
24°C
$5,112 交易量
No
25°C
$2,650 交易量
No
26°C
$1,902 交易量
No
27°C
$1,908 交易量
No
28°C
$4,597 交易量
No
29°C
$1,821 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$758 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$95,135结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,135结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题