Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Seattle high of 54-55°F on April 17, anchored by verified observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Cool marine air advection and persistent stratus cloud cover—hallmarks of Pacific Northwest spring patterns—capped daytime heating, with METAR reports peaking near 55°F amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus for below-normal temperatures (April average ~59°F) amid a post-warm spell cooling trend since early April. Post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare, though anomalous sensor glitches could theoretically prompt review.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
54-55°F 100.0%
51°F或以下 <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$86,937 交易量
$86,937 交易量
51°F或以下
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70°F或更高
否
54-55°F 100.0%
51°F或以下 <1%
52-53°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$86,937 交易量
$86,937 交易量
51°F或以下
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Seattle high of 54-55°F on April 17, anchored by verified observations from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Cool marine air advection and persistent stratus cloud cover—hallmarks of Pacific Northwest spring patterns—capped daytime heating, with METAR reports peaking near 55°F amid light winds and high humidity. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus for below-normal temperatures (April average ~59°F) amid a post-warm spell cooling trend since early April. Post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare, though anomalous sensor glitches could theoretically prompt review.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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