Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 交易量
$72,849 交易量
2026-04-18
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 交易量
$72,849 交易量
2026-04-18
31°F or below
$5,250 交易量
No
32-33°F
$4,723 交易量
No
34-35°F
$4,290 交易量
No
36-37°F
$4,782 交易量
No
38-39°F
$3,695 交易量
No
40-41°F
$4,903 交易量
No
42-43°F
$5,321 交易量
No
44-45°F
$7,783 交易量
No
46-47°F
$4,328 交易量
No
48-49°F
$7,854 交易量
No
50°F or higher
$19,921 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$72,849结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,849结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题