Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月1日西雅图的最高温度？
7月1日西雅图的最高温度？
62-63°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$54,901 交易量
$54,901 交易量
2026-07-01
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$54,901 交易量
$54,901 交易量
2026-07-01
59°F or below
$1,747 交易量
No
60-61°F
$2,198 交易量
No
62-63°F
$8,465 交易量
Yes
64-65°F
$5,466 交易量
No
66-67°F
$13,038 交易量
No
68-69°F
$4,276 交易量
No
70-71°F
$4,204 交易量
No
72-73°F
$3,926 交易量
No
74-75°F
$4,100 交易量
No
76-77°F
$4,016 交易量
No
78°F or higher
$3,466 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$54,901结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,901结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题