Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日西雅图的最高温度？
7月18日西雅图的最高温度？
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$58,134 交易量
$58,134 交易量
2026-07-18
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$58,134 交易量
$58,134 交易量
2026-07-18
65°F or below
$5,212 交易量
No
66-67°F
$2,423 交易量
No
68-69°F
$3,741 交易量
No
70-71°F
$5,853 交易量
No
72-73°F
$13,173 交易量
No
74-75°F
$7,522 交易量
Yes
76-77°F
$5,380 交易量
No
78-79°F
$3,910 交易量
No
80-81°F
$9,742 交易量
No
82-83°F
$801 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$377 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$58,134结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,134结束日期
2026-07-18市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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