Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 31.1%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
$14,251 交易量
$14,251 交易量
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
31%
24°C or higher 31.1%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
$14,251 交易量
$14,251 交易量
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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