Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$294,629 交易量
$294,629 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$294,629 交易量
$294,629 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned global models indicate Seoul's daytime maximum will reach exactly 29°C on June 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds, and typical early-summer insolation in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs hover near 26–28°C before rising later in the month, and current observational data through the afternoon confirm temperatures tracking toward but not beyond that threshold. The near-100% market-implied odds reflect strong consensus on these conditions holding through the evening observation window. A sudden increase in cloud cover or unforecast precipitation could cap readings lower, while stronger solar heating or advection of warmer air would be required to push into the low 30s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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