Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 交易量
$224,577 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 交易量
$224,577 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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警惕外部链接哦。
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