The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on June 5?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 交易量
$216,560 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$216,560 交易量
$216,560 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest numerical weather prediction models and station observations strongly support a 23°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 5, reflecting stable early-summer conditions under weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with climatological expectations for early June, when average highs hover near 25–28°C before the East Asian monsoon intensifies. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 23°C incorporates real-time model consensus and surface data, leaving only slim room for revision. A sudden increase in insolation from clearing skies or a shift in steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before the daily high is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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