Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$340,922 交易量
$340,922 交易量
2026-05-03
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$340,922 交易量
$340,922 交易量
2026-05-03
9°C or below
$5,832 交易量
No
10°C
$4,219 交易量
No
11°C
$4,038 交易量
No
12°C
$7,141 交易量
No
13°C
$41,646 交易量
No
14°C
$75,738 交易量
No
15°C
$55,864 交易量
Yes
16°C
$57,592 交易量
No
17°C
$34,925 交易量
No
18°C
$24,085 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$29,842 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
交易量
$340,922结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$340,922结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:50 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's official station confirm the highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent cloud cover from a passing frontal system, combined with high humidity (80-90%) and light easterly winds, suppressed daytime heating despite typical early May climatology averaging 20-22°C highs. Light rain and overcast skies capped solar insolation, aligning with short-range KMA forecasts issued that morning. While data finalization via Wunderground at Incheon International Airport station could theoretically prompt minor revisions—ignored post-resolution per market rules—such discrepancies are rare, solidifying the strong scientific backing for 15°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题