Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 交易量
$227,692 交易量
2026-04-22
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 交易量
$227,692 交易量
2026-04-22
10°C or below
$11,025 交易量
No
11°C
$3,805 交易量
No
12°C
$4,181 交易量
No
13°C
$12,849 交易量
No
14°C
$22,767 交易量
No
15°C
$16,813 交易量
No
16°C
$30,531 交易量
No
17°C
$43,019 交易量
No
18°C
$27,031 交易量
Yes
19°C
$26,833 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$28,838 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$227,692结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$227,692结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题