Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,052 交易量
$117,052 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,052 交易量
$117,052 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai weather stations show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 25°C on June 16, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects verified surface air temperature readings under typical early-summer conditions, including moderate humidity and limited daytime heating amid regional atmospheric patterns. Historical climatology for mid-June supports highs near 25–28°C as a baseline, with minimal deviation from model consensus today. While rare factors like localized microclimate effects or post-observation data revisions could theoretically alter the recorded peak, the overwhelming convergence of station networks makes such shifts improbable before final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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