Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,131 交易量
$76,131 交易量
2026-06-24
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,131 交易量
$76,131 交易量
2026-06-24
21°C or below
$318 交易量
No
22°C
$1,237 交易量
No
23°C
$17,644 交易量
No
24°C
$20,693 交易量
Yes
25°C
$13,503 交易量
No
26°C
$10,508 交易量
No
27°C
$5,728 交易量
No
28°C
$4,998 交易量
No
29°C
$876 交易量
No
30°C
$355 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$271 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$76,131结束日期
2026-06-24市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76,131结束日期
2026-06-24市场开放时间
Jun 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s June 24 high, reflecting the ongoing Meiyu plum-rain regime of persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate maxima near 26–28°C under overcast skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with climatological norms for late June when average highs reach 27–28°C but frequent cloud suppresses peaks. Trader consensus assigns only modest probability to 27°C or warmer outcomes because additional rain or thicker cloud could cap temperatures at or below 25°C. Official updates from regional meteorological centers on model runs and observed trends through June 23 will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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