Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月9日上海气温最高？
6月9日上海气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 交易量
$186,263 交易量
2026-06-09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 交易量
$186,263 交易量
2026-06-09
18°C or below
$374 交易量
No
19°C
$500 交易量
No
20°C
$960 交易量
No
21°C
$4,139 交易量
No
22°C
$14,483 交易量
No
23°C
$28,675 交易量
No
24°C
$20,979 交易量
No
25°C
$40,506 交易量
Yes
26°C
$43,494 交易量
No
27°C
$19,655 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$12,497 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$186,263结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$186,263结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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